A Dividend Investing Strategy

Singapore investors love their dividend stocks. According to the Investment Trends Singapore Broking Report 2015, 75% of investors polled stated that they usually invest in dividend stocks when trading on the Singapore market. And they are spoilt for choice! Many companies that list on SGX pay dividends. But with so many dividend-paying stocks out there, which stock would you consider?

A High Dividend Yield Stock: Better than a Low Dividend Yield Stock or?

That is the question. The stock with the highest dividend yield in the industry may look attractive now, but is a stock with 10% dividend yield better than one with 3% in the long run? Does a high yield stock always outperform a low yield stock?

High dividend yield should not be taken at face value. It always pays to dig deeper and find out the real story behind certain attractive numbers before deciding to invest.

Companies with a high dividend yield compared to the market average may not necessarily equate to companies with good financial performance. The high dividend yield could be the result of declining share price due to weak fundamental such as inconsistent earnings, high debt etc. Besides, high dividend yield may not be sustainable. If earnings fall, the management may cut dividends or eliminate the pay-out altogether. Hence, investors should also look at companies with consistent dividend payouts and with the cash flows coming from actual core operations.

A Dividend Growth Strategy

If a stock with a high dividend yield is not necessarily the best choice for long-term investors, then what other strategies are there? A dividend growth strategy for one, is something you might want to learn more about.

To clarify, dividend yield is the dividend amount divided by the share price. Dividend growth meanwhile is how much the dollar-amount of dividends given out increases each year.

Take this hypothetical example which compares the performance of two investors (based on certain assumptions where indicated).

Investor A: Invests in ABC Company which pays 7% dividend yield at the outset and every year after that.

Investor B: Invests in XYZ Company which pays 3% dividend yield at the outset.

XYZ Company has a lower dividend yield because they choose to reinvest some of their earnings into the business. The business grows, and so does their dividend pay-out – to the tune of 8% every year (e.g. $0.03 dividend per share in year 1, $0.032 in year 2).

Assume that the share prices for both of these companies remain unchanged for 25 years and both investors reinvested their dividends every year. Their performance can be found in the table below.

divi

The Results
Investor A, the high yield investor, beats Investor B during the beginning years but the dividend pay-out and portfolio value of Investor B caught up in year 16 and 22 respectively. In the end, the total dividends received by Investor B are more than 3 times that of Investor A.

So, while Investor B received low pay-outs initially, he was rewarded with future growth. This is the underlying principle of the dividend growth investing strategy. Length of the period of investment would also affect the total dividends received.

Finding Dividend Growth Stocks

That will be the next question on your mind if you want to explore using a dividend growth strategy. Stock screeners come in useful here. A stock screener allows you to choose certain criteria, and to find stocks that fit the criteria you have selected.

Here is a set of criteria that could be used to pull dividend growth stocks:

  • Dividend yield>3%
  • Market capitalisation>200 million
  • Dividend growth rate (5-year average)>8%.

The stock screener below, for example, has found 17 stocks that match the above criteria. This provides a good starting point for investors to do further research into these specific stocks. Try to come up with your own set of criteria and see how it works.

divi2

Source: Recognia Strategy Builder on Maybank Kim Eng’s KE Trade platform as at March 2016

Disclaimer: This message is for general knowledge or information only. It is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell securities, futures or other products or services. Our products or services vary in different jurisdictions, subject to their respective terms and conditions and the licences our affiliates and us hold. This message is not an advice or recommendation for any financial planning, investment, legal, tax or other purposes and, accordingly, no responsibility or liability is assumed by us or our affiliates, whether directly or indirectly, from any person taking or not taking action

Read More...

What Exactly Is Short Selling?

In the dynamic world of the investments, you will encounter the term “short selling”. How does it work and what are the rules behind it?

The age-old practice in investing is that you will profit by purchasing stocks in a low price and selling them for a higher price. Although you have invested in a seemingly good performing economy, some stocks or securities may go down. You cannot earn money by “buying low and selling high” in this circumstance. Fortunately for you, there is another way to make money! That is short selling.

Short selling plays a soothing music to the risk-taker’s ears. Its concept is relatively simple. It takes advantage of the market transitions from higher to lower prices. It occurs when an individual borrows a stock, sells it for a higher price, and purchases the stock again at a cheaper price. Watch this short video to grasp its essence:

Most local brokerage firms let you experience the ease of selling short. Just place an order to sell the stock and communicate with the broker. The brokerage firm will borrow the shares for you to sell. Then, it loans the shares to your account and conducts the sell order.

As with everything, rules shall apply. Here are just some of the common rules in short selling:

1. The “Uptick Rule” is one of the key edicts that short sellers abide. It refers to selling a stock short only when the last trade was a move up. You cannot short a stock that is moving down.

2. The odds may not be in your favor if you heard that a flock of investors are shorting the same stocks that you are shorting. There are so many risks if you short a stock that everyone else does. They can simply abandon their shorts if things do not go as planned. Doing so will drive the price to hike.

3. Short selling during seasonal holidays or during “options expiration week” may attract painful losses because those circumstances do not follow the natural or normal supply and demand.

Short selling takes advantage of the market transitions from higher to lower prices. The steep learning curve intimidates some investors, leading to avoiding it entirely. It is undoubtedly a skill that experienced investors develop!

Sources: 1, 2, & 3

Read More...

An Investment for Property Lovers and Dividend Seekers

Singaporeans are fixated with buying property – and they don’t just stop at one.

In a report published in June 2016, Maybank Kim Eng’s research team found that approximately 1.1 million households in Singapore own the homes they occupy, but there are another 200,000 housing units are currently held as investments. This demand, coupled with land scarcity, means that property in Singapore doesn’t come cheap.

There is however, a more affordable option for those looking to invest in property: real estate investment trusts (REITs). REITs – Singapore REITs (S-REITs) in particular – have been making headlines recently for offering handsome dividends, made even more attractive by a persistent low interest rate environment. If you are a dividend investor, you may want to learn more about this asset class.

How Have Singapore REITs Fared?

According to a Bloomberg report in October 2016, the 7% yield offered by S-REITs exceeded those listed in Australia, the US and Japan. That’s been the driving force behind an approximately 9% increase in the FTSE Straits Times Real Estate Investment Trust index this year as yield-hungry investors flock to the offerings amid record-low interest rates.

reits1

Findings by SGX My Gateway published on 11 September 2016 also showed that the sector logged an indicative average dividend yield of 6.7% p.a. thus far, compared to that of the Straits Times Index (3.9% p.a.) and MSCI World REIT Index (3.9%p.a.).

Compared to fixed deposit rates? The difference is even wider. In September 2016, the 12-month fixed deposit rate  – or the average rate compiled from that quoted by 10 leading banks and finance companies – was 0.35% p.a.

What is a REIT Anyway?

A REIT is a trust that owns and operates income generating real estate. The rental income or interest payment that is earned by the REIT is passed on to investors in the form of dividends.

Here are more facts about REITs and S-REITs:

  • There’s a reason why S-REITs pay handsome dividends. They are required to distribute at least 90% of their taxable income each year in order to enjoy tax exempt status by IRAS, subject to certain conditions.
  • Investing in one REIT gives you exposure to not just one, but a portfolio of properties, and at a fraction of the price that it would cost you to buy a single property.
  • The portfolio of properties are not limited to those in Singapore. Some REITs have international properties in their portfolio.
  • REITs are more liquid compared to property as they can be bought and sold on stock exchanges throughout the day just like any other stock.

What S-REITs are Out There?

There are different types of S-REITs to choose from, and they are affected by different factors.

reits2

Maybank Kim Eng’s research team believes that industrial REITs, like Ascendas REIT and Mapletree Industrial Trust, could benefit from public spending’s focus on boosting innovation and productivity. Business parks, science parks and high-spec industrial space will be in demand. So if you are wondering what type of REITs to watch out for, you could consider finding out more about industrial REITs and whether they fit the objectives of your portfolio.

Disclaimer: This message is for general knowledge or information only. It is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell securities, futures or other products or services. Our products or services vary in different jurisdictions, subject to their respective terms and conditions and the licences our affiliates and us hold. This message is not an advice or recommendation for any financial planning, investment, legal, tax or other purposes and, accordingly, no responsibility or liability is assumed by us or our affiliates, whether directly or indirectly, from any person taking or not taking action

Read More...

Alibaba’s Sales Soared High Months After Singapore Bought A Billion In Stocks

My uncle is a proud owner of several holistic spas. Whether his branches are in need of a new machine (e.g., IPL or Laser Hair Removal Machine), he visits Alibaba first. Alibaba is a global marketplace that is relatively prompt and reliable. It is reigns supreme in the world of Chinese e-commerce. Its broad prevalence in Asia is comparable to United States’ Amazon or eBay.

It comes as no surprise that its sales soared up to 55% in the last quarter due to cloud computing. As Chief Executive Daniel Zhang once said: “Our results reflect our increasing ability to monetise our 450 million mobile users through new and innovative social
commerce experiences.” You can expect that this number of users will grow positively each year.

Image Credits: Global Panorama via Flickr Creative Commons (Attribution-ShareAlike 2.0 Generic)

Image Credits: Global Panorama via Flickr Creative Commons (Attribution-ShareAlike 2.0 Generic)

You see, cloud computing is the practice of utilizing a network of remote servers hosted on the Internet instead of using a local server. It manages, stores, and processes data in that manner. Basically, cloud computing allows the users to store and access data online without needing a computer’s hard drive. It allows Alibaba to operate conveniently and swiftly.

What is interesting is the fact that the Government of Singapore purchased a total of US$1 billion (about S$1.38 billion) last June. GIC Private and Temasek Holdings each signed to US$500 million (S$692.15 million) of Alibaba shares, which were priced at US$74 (S$102.44) a piece thru subsidiaries. These shares were a part of the US$8.9 billion (S$12.32 billion) sale by Japan’s SoftBank. SoftBank remains to be Alibaba’s biggest shareholder. The elevated sales of Alibaba showed that the decision to acquire the shares was beneficial – at least for now.

You may think that Alibaba’s local competitors called RedMart and Lazada were shaken by these news, but you are wrong! Alibaba had recently invested in these two companies due to their financial constraints.

Image Credits: pixabay.com

Image Credits: pixabay.com

We can only hope that these circumstances will improve Singapore’s e-commerce platform in the future.

Sources: 1, 2, & 3

Read More...

The Buzz Around U.S. Interest Rates: 3 Things You Should Know

It has been a story of “will they or won’t they” this entire year.

We are talking of course, about interest rates. The last rate hike in December 2015 was the first since 2006, and gradual hikes were expected in 2016 but the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has ended every meeting so far with the decision to maintain interest rates. Market watchers are at the edge of their seats. The consensus is that a rate hike is looming and it could come as soon as November or December, when the FOMC next convenes.

In preparation for that, here are three things that you should know about a potential interest rate hike.

Will Markets Cheer or Jeer?

Here is a look at how the market has reacted to FOMC decisions lately:

io1

*Prices plotted based on the adjusted close price of the last day of each month

Lately, markets seem to breathe a sigh of relief whenever rates remain unchanged but it is really anyone’s guess as to how the market will react to the next rate hike.

There are reasons why the market could react positively or negatively. Markets could jeer, as higher interest rates mean heftier borrowing costs for companies and consumers. In other words, it could be a drag on the economy. But markets could cheer as well because a hike may mean that the US economy is back on track and that the FOMC is confident enough to remove its crutches.

How Did We Get Here in the First Place?

Interest rates are practically zero as of this moment. The graph below shows how interest rates have fallen to this point over the years:

io2

In the 1980s, to combat double digit inflation and the residual effects of the 1980 energy crisis, interest rates were hiked to about 20%. It stands in stark contrast to our current low interest rate environment. This low rate was a result of the global financial crisis; the US economy was hit hard by the crash in the housing market and banking sector from 2007 – 2009 and interest rates were reduced so that consumers and businesses could continue to spend and boost the economy. Interest rates have been kept low ever since as the FOMC has adopted a wait-and-see approach.

What Investors Should Take Note Of

There are two sectors that investors should keep an eye on – property and financial institutions.

It is easy to see why financial institutions will be affected. Their core business revolves around loans and their performance varies with interest rate levels. As for the property sector, it could go both ways. Higher mortgage rates make home buying more expensive, but the FOMC’s decision to raise rates could signal a healthy economy and a healthier economy could buoy the housing market.

And it isn’t just the US market we are talking about here. As money moves back to the US seeking higher interest rates, in a bid to stay competitive, interest rates in other countries may be increased as well. So do your research and pencil in these dates: 1-2 November 2016 and 13-14 December 2016. The market will be holding its breath as the FOMC convenes to decide whether the time has come to finally hike interest rates.

Disclaimer: This message is for general knowledge or information only. It is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell securities, futures or other products or services. Our products or services vary in different jurisdictions, subject to their respective terms and conditions and the licences our affiliates and us hold. This message is not an advice or recommendation for any financial planning, investment, legal, tax or other purposes and, accordingly, no responsibility or liability is assumed by us or our affiliates, whether directly or indirectly, from any person taking or not taking action

 

 

Read More...